Saturday, January 29, 2022

Ideal allocation of money

 This is not a financial advice, however based on my experience - if given a choice, I would like to breakdown total worth of money in the following high level six categories. 

  1. 25% in Real Estate (including the house you stay)
  2. 20% in Retirement Funds (401K, IRA etc)
  3. 20% in Stocks
  4. 20% in Cash Flow Business
  5. 10% in Cash
  6. 5% in Commodities
Real Estate - has the slowest rate of return (in developed countries), but also one of the most stable and risk free asset class. Hence the maximum allocation, but it grows painfully slowly and it is hard to sell in the time of need - or it takes time to sell so should limit it to 25%. 

People spend on an average more than half of their saved money in their last 10-15 years due to deteriorating health condition. Hence - its best to give second best allocation to retirement funds. As you age, it is also hard to find work or produce money. Plus these money has advantage on tax, so 20% allocation in 401K, IRA etc makes total sense. 

You should always have 6 to 12 month of your expenses saved in hard cash. Yes, you can use credit card etc if you need the money when you lose job, but it comes with the price of interest and hence saved money in the time of need is very much a necessity. After you saved 12 month of expense in cash - you can start putting that cash in some reliable source of safety, such as fixed deposits in bank (as good as cash), savings account or bonds or Dividend Paying stocks (which does not move a lot but gives 8 to 10% Dividend on monthly basis such as QYLD, RYLD (subject to market risk). 

5% in Commodities to cover up the inflation over the period of time. Before Crypto currency, most of these were Gold and Silver money, but now a days, it is best to allocate 1 to 3% of commodity allocation in either BitCoin or Ethereum. 

All of above methods would give roughly 5 to 10% return over the period of time. It is best to generate additional income through investing in cash flow generating businesses. Often - initially it is best to partner with like minded friends or relatives which gives 15-20% Return. 

Lastly, the riskiest asset class - Stock Market. There is no other asset class which will give you the craziest sounding returns like stock market. 10,000$ invested in Amazon or Netflix over the period of 30 years, would give you 20+ Million dollars. However it is hard to find great stocks out of 8000+ and it is also hard to keep them for longer duration. Imagine investing 10,000$ in Amazon and not selling it when it reached 1 million dollar. Also at times it is frustrating - Imagine investing in Apple company from 1982 and waiting for 20 years and wake up in 2002 to see you have lost 1000$ out of 10,000$ and if you sell it, only to see in next 20 years, that same 10,000$ giving 10 million dollars. So, there are countless such examples - but if you get it right, no other asset class will reward you like stock market. Your first 10,000$ though - best to invest it in exchange traded funds like SPY or QQQ and later on once you have spend enough time and acquired enough knowledge about the various businesses - buy the individual stocks. "Invest in you" is often the most rewarding strategy such as if you are shopping in COSTCO or buying Nike Shoes or purchasing Apple phone etc- so invest in the companies whose products or services you are familiar with and use it on daily or monthly or yearly basis. 

Sunday, January 23, 2022

UPDATED TIER 4 RISK HIGH GROWTH PORTFOLIO

 



UPDATED FAVORITES STOCK PORTFOLIO TIER 3

Following list of 50 stocks are my favorite stocks in the market (but they are not outperforming and hence not part of Top 50 and they are also not in the Trend. However, these are some of the best companies for long term outlook.


  1. AAPL
  2. ABT
  3. AMD
  4. AMZN
  5. BILL
  6. BLDR
  7. CELH
  8. CMG
  9. COST
  10. CROX
  11. CRWD
  12. CVNA
  13. CYBR
  14. DASH
  15. DDOG
  16. DIS
  17. DKNG
  18. DPZ
  19. DXCM
  20. ENPH
  21. FND
  22. GRMN
  23. HOOD
  24. LRCX
  25. LULU
  26. MDB
  27. MELI
  28. MTCH
  29. NET
  30. NFLX
  31. NIO
  32. NVDA
  33. PINS
  34. PLTR
  35. PYPL
  36. RH
  37. SBUX
  38. SE
  39. SPOT
  40. SQ
  41. TDOC
  42. TMUS
  43. TTD
  44. TTWO
  45. TWLO
  46. TWTR
  47. UBER
  48. UPST
  49. Z
  50. ZS

UPDATED TREND PORTFOLIO (TIER 2)

My favorite set up's are highlighted in Bold. 
  1. ABBV
  2. ADM
  3. ALK
  4. BDX
  5. BG
  6. BIDU
  7. BUD
  8. C
  9. CFG
  10. CHD
  11. CHKP
  12. COF
  13. CPE
  14. CTXS
  15. DBX
  16. DOW
  17. DOX
  18. DWAC
  19. EA
  20. FOX
  21. GOLD
  22. GRFS
  23. IAC
  24. IBM
  25. INTC
  26. JNPR
  27. KDP
  28. LDOS
  29. LMT
  30. LNC
  31. LPL
  32. LYB
  33. MGA
  34. MOS
  35. NLOK
  36. NTES
  37. PCAR
  38. PII
  39. PVH
  40. REGN
  41. RF
  42. SABR
  43. SLB
  44. SPLK
  45. TAK
  46. TAP
  47. TV
  48. VMW
  49. WEX
  50. WWD

Friday, January 21, 2022

TOP 50 STOCKS JAN 21 - FEB 18 2022

For next one month (from Jan Expiry to Feb options expiry) following are my top 50 stocks pick. All of them have performed slightly better than SPY (some of them up more than 5%, 10%, 20%) etc. There were 5 other in the list, but unfortunately, they were cut from Top 50: Capital One (COF), IBM, DBX (Dropbox), Sabr (SABR), NTES. 


Top 50 Stocks List: 

  1. ABNB
  2. ALLY
  3. AMGN
  4. AXP
  5. BA
  6. BABA
  7. BAC
  8. BBY
  9. BKNG
  10. BMY
  11. CCL
  12. CF
  13. CVS
  14. DAL
  15. DFS
  16. DISCA
  17. DKS
  18. EMN
  19. ERJ
  20. EXPE
  21. FDX
  22. FUTU
  23. GD
  24. H
  25. HLT
  26. HON
  27. HPQ
  28. IRBT
  29. JAZZ
  30. JD
  31. KR
  32. LHX
  33. LYFT
  34. LYV
  35. MIDD
  36. MKC
  37. MS
  38. PEP
  39. STZ
  40. TECK
  41. TGT
  42. TSLA
  43. V
  44. VIAC
  45. VRTX
  46. WAL
  47. WYNN
  48. XPEV
  49. ZIM
  50. ZION

Monday, January 17, 2022

TV Shows Ranking

 TV Series: 


As of Jan 2022: 


Top 10: 


  1. The Wire
  2. Game of Thrones
  3. Sopranos
  4. Homeland
  5. Mad Men
  6. Dexter
  7. The Killing
  8. Prison Break
  9. Lost
  10. West Wing



Great but not in Top 10: 


  • Breaking Bad
  • The Crown
  • True Detective (Season 1)
  • Sherlock
  • Fargo
  • Succession (First two seasons are good)
  • Narcos
  • Narcos: Mexico
  • House of Cards (First few seasons)
  • The Good Wife
  • 24
  • Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan
  • Criminal Minds
  • Blue Blood
  • Bosch
  • Collateral
  • The Looming Tower



Good TV Series: 


  • Better Call Saul
  • Mare of Easton
  • The Sinner 
  • YellowStone
  • Sharp Objects
  • Ray Donovan
  • Billions
  • Brotherwood
  • The Bridge
  • Secret City
  • The White Dragon
  • The Widow
  • Safe
  • Tehran
  • The Morning Show


Ok TV Series: 


  • Shameless
  • Broadchurch
  • Killing Eve
  • The Chestnut Man
  • The White Lotus


Hindi TV Series: 


  • Paatallok
  • Scam 1992
  • Afsos
  • Family Man
  • Mirzapur
  • Sacred Games