Monday, April 15, 2024

Diamond Hands


I have a colleague whom I occasionally share lunch with. Two years ago, when Tesla's stock price peaked at around $414 per share (post-split), nearing a $2 trillion valuation, he invested in Tesla shares. I was skeptical and questioned his decision. I asked, "Did you invest all the money you intended to, or do you plan to add more?" He replied that he had invested all at once.

Another acquaintance mentioned that they had bought CVS stock five years prior, and its price hadn't moved since then. Even after another two years, there was no change. While I refrained from openly criticizing their choices, I couldn't help but think they might be making mistakes. Instead, I checked in on them every three months, asking if they still held onto their stocks. Their response was always, "Yes, we're holding on; we have diamond hands."

It seems they might not grasp that, over more than two years, they haven't gained anything and may even be losing money. Furthermore, not only are they potentially losing in the stock market, but inflation is also eroding the value of their money.

I wonder why some people, unfamiliar with the stock market, invest significant sums in just one or a few stocks, only to lose money and then conclude that the stock market isn't for them. If they haven't made an effort to learn about investing, perhaps they should expect these outcomes. The Tesla investor told me recently, "I've done my part; I've also bought a new Tesla. Now it's up to Elon." This kind of perspective leaves me shaking my head in disbelief.

Saturday, April 13, 2024

Friday, April 12, 2024

Advice

No one learned swimming, by reading book about swimming. Another example might be: If you remember, the first time, you saw people playing cricket - you were either attracted to "Ball" or "Bat"; You might have either picked up the ball - and threw it (underarm or overarm) or Perhaps you were attracted to the bat - and tried to "Hit" the ball - You might have missed the ball or hit it. Point is - you did not say to the folks who were playing cricket - wait, let me read a book about cricket - or explain me how to play this game. You just jump right into it - and learn it as and how it happens. 

Investing or Trading is very similar - You cant wait for books to read - and even if you do - you wont learn anything until you have a "Practical" knowledge. In trading - they say 99% of folks lose money - and most of them do - and it takes years before you create a system that works for you - which can consistently reward you with money. 

Even veterans like Buffett makes mistakes. You will make a mistake. But, its up to each individual that how they can minimize those mistakes, use them as learning opportunities and move forward. Because if you survive few years of damage, the amount of money that you can make - you wouldnt have even dream about it. More than money - it will become part of your life - until you die. Also it teaches you various aspects of life - interests you to the areas, that you might have never learned. 

It is not "Easy", nothing in life ever is easy - until you do it and once you do it - Its not "Rocket Science" either. 

Thursday, April 11, 2024

Money - Where is it?

119 Trillion in Entire World “Bond” Market.
109 Trillion in Entire World Stock Market.
52 Trillion in US Housing Market
49  Trillion in USA Stock Market
46 Trillion in USA Bond Market.
34 Trillion USA Govt Debt
25  Trillion GDP United States in the year 2022.
25 Trillion US Commercial Real Estate: 
13.7 Trillions is total worth of Gold in the entire World.
13.6 Trillions in IRA Accounts.
9.7 Trillions in Wages each year in USA. 
7.4 Trillions in 401K accounts
6.4 Trillions in Money Market Funds. 
6.2 Trillion United States Govt Spending
4.5 Trillion United States Govt Revenue
2.74 Trillions worth of total CryptoCurrency in the world.
2.26 Trillions US dollars in circulation.
0.5 Trillion worth of Gold Reserve in USA

Saturday, April 6, 2024

Inflation CPI Prediction for March 2024

#Inflation, #CPI Prediction for upcoming week We will get 0.3% increase in MoM data and YoY numbers will be around 3.10% for March 2024. We will NOT go below 2% target of Fed in inflation print, anytime this year, but will spend most of the year in between 2 to 3%. At some point, this year, Fed will realize, 2% target is incorrect and we should be ok with 2.5% Inflation in YoY and cut rates.




Friday, March 29, 2024

Top 5 Indian Cricketers from Each Decades

Following are top 5 Indian cricketers from each Decade:

1940's: Lala Amarnath, Vijay Hazare, Hemu Adhikari, CS Nayudu, Syed Mustaq Ali

1950's: Polly Umrigar, Pankaj Roy, Vijay Manjrekar, Subhash Gupte, Vinoo Mankad

1960's: Chandu Borde, Mansur Ali Khan Pataudi, Farokh Engineer, Erapalli Prasanna, Bapu Nadkarni

1970's: Sunil Gavaskar, Gundappa Viswanath, Bishan Bedi, S.Venkataraghavan, B.Chandrashekhar

1980's: Kapil Dev, Ravi Shastri, Dilip Vengsarkar, K.Srikanth, Mohinder Amarnath

1990's: Sachin Tendulkar, Mohd Azharuddin, Anil Kumble, Javagal Srinath, Navjot Singh Sidhu

2000's: Rahul Dravid, Yuvraj Singh, Harbhajan Singh, Zaheer Khan, Saurav Ganguly

2010's: Virat Kohli, M.S.Dhoni, Rohit Sharma, Ravindra Jadeja, Ravi Ashwin

2020's: Jasprit Bumrah, Rishabh Pant, Shubhman Gill, Hardik Pandya, K.L.Rahul 

*Limiting entry for each player in only one decade, else Tendulkar, Gavaskar, Bedi might have been easily picked for two decades. 

Thursday, March 28, 2024

2024 1st Quarter

 2024 YearToDate Performances (so far, 1st Quarter)


ROOT 482%

SMCI  255%

MSTR 170%

NVDA  82%

HIMS   73%

CGC    68%

CVNA  66%

CAVA   63%

HOOD  58%

CROX   54%

DKS      53%

COIN    52%

CELH    52%

ERJ.      44%

WING    42%

DECK    40%



NYCB   -68%

RIVN     -53%

NIO       -50%

RDFN    -35%

RUN     -32%

SNAP   -32%

PTON   -29%

TSLA    -29%

ROKU   -28%

SOFI     -26%

BA        -25%